Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.343382 0.400698 0.464842 0.541995 0.632352 0.734915 0.860307
2025-01-05 0.246549 0.319411 0.410027 0.531235 0.689514 0.889734 1.163141
2025-01-12 0.197404 0.274529 0.377576 0.525788 0.734341 1.018608 1.437711
2025-01-19 0.166861 0.245809 0.357628 0.528281 0.783572 1.153579 1.734742
2025-01-26 0.150889 0.233702 0.357109 0.555471 0.868573 1.347531 2.143041
2025-02-02 0.137820 0.223214 0.356372 0.580577 0.951940 1.548281 2.589988
2025-02-09 0.125385 0.211468 0.351341 0.597018 1.022224 1.736013 3.041884
2025-02-16 0.113069 0.197911 0.341077 0.602506 1.073679 1.897733 3.471307
2025-02-23 0.101224 0.183375 0.326938 0.598731 1.107396 2.031677 3.868719
2025-03-02 0.089141 0.166716 0.306759 0.580942 1.112421 2.113226 4.178268
2025-03-09 0.083427 0.160947 0.305391 0.597616 1.183859 2.327034 4.774180
2025-03-16 0.076647 0.152233 0.297322 0.600044 1.227311 2.491476 5.293365
2025-03-23 0.071436 0.146116 0.293838 0.611835 1.292738 2.711742 5.970171
2025-03-30 0.064329 0.135299 0.279741 0.600057 1.307699 2.830306 6.446991
2025-04-06 0.058637 0.126682 0.269027 0.593871 1.333525 2.974981 7.004065
2025-04-13 0.054384 0.120596 0.262856 0.596697 1.379562 3.170179 7.708865
2025-04-20 0.052787 0.120145 0.268788 0.627510 1.493971 3.536888 8.885379
2025-04-27 0.051070 0.119197 0.273463 0.655966 1.606705 3.915283 10.152278
2025-05-04 0.048768 0.116593 0.274015 0.674604 1.698042 4.254466 11.373339
2025-05-11 0.045853 0.112168 0.269753 0.680825 1.759041 4.526321 12.459627
2025-05-18 0.042579 0.106468 0.261747 0.676545 1.792335 4.731605 13.396926
2025-05-25 0.038742 0.098902 0.248274 0.656380 1.780778 4.816932 14.009320
2025-06-01 0.037284 0.097252 0.249486 0.675282 1.878067 5.210838 15.585924